咖啡机被中产买爆,“国产第一”的格米莱却慌了The coffee machine has been sold out by the middle class, but the "number one domestic" Gree is panicking

2026-08-27 17:00:10 admin 2359
格米莱借咖啡热潮冲国产咖啡机第一股,却存营销重研发轻隐忧。

咖啡赛道有多卷,不用多说了。

瑞幸、库迪、Manner、幸运咖,9块9一杯接一杯地砸,把咖啡从“小资饮品”硬生生砸成了“打工人续命水”。

各家拼供应链、拼周转率、拼成本,搞联名、发优惠券、刷存在感,一刻不敢停。就连星巴克都被挤兑得卖了身,差点要“蜜雪化”了。

简直乱成一锅粥。

但谁能想到,就在这片红海里,一家卖咖啡机的顺德企业,反倒闷声发起了大财。

他就是“国产咖啡机龙头”格米莱。

2024年,其营收逼近5个亿,净利润4000万。2025年前三季度,毛利率已经干到44.1%。这是什么概念?小家电板块2025年三季度的平均毛利率才30%出头。

要说,咖啡机能火起来,得益于这群嘴越来越刁的中产们。

喝咖啡,豆子要挑风味、看产地,烘焙度得自己调,萃取水温差一度都觉着不对劲,外卖已经满足不了这种挑剔了。

一位北京白领小熊给AI蓝媒汇算了一笔账,“就算每天一杯9.9,一年下来三千多块,还不如买台咖啡机自己做,成本低、品质好、可玩性还高。”

再说了,家里支棱起一个“咖啡角”,小资调性不就拉满了。

靠着这个“中产大玩具”,格米莱结结实实地吃到了咖啡赛道的红利。

如今,都跑去港交所IPO了。如果成功,它将成为“国产咖啡机第一股”。

卖咖啡的在前面打个你死我活,卖咖啡机的,反倒先去上市了。

有意思吗?太有意思了。

但这也不意味着安全,因为追兵已经在路上了。

格米莱的“破局密码”

咖啡机赛道,被以德龙为首的外资品牌把持了几十年,格米莱凭什么杀出来了?

简单来说,它出圈的秘诀就是:把咖啡馆吧台后面上万的商用配置,塞进家用机里,并卖了个你想不到的价格。

起点是一个数字:58毫米。

2012年之前,市面上几乎所有家用咖啡机用的都是51毫米的萃取系统。这配置是够用,能出咖啡、上面浮一层薄薄的油脂,已经比速溶体面太多。

行业里没人觉得有问题。毕竟,商用归商用,家用归家用,井水不犯河水。

格米莱偏不信这个邪。

它把商用级的58毫米手柄和冲煮头,装进家用机里。7毫米的差距意味着什么?更大的粉碗面积,萃取更均匀,油脂更厚,风味层次直接拉开一档。

但这也意味着整个加热系统、压力控制、机身结构都得推倒重来。所以,这事儿没人干过,也没有人敢做。

格米莱干了。

从此,“58毫米”就成了格米莱家用机的一个硬标签。一千多块的入门款就给你配这个系统,三千多的进阶款又塞进了PID精准控温和双泵设计,这两样在进口大牌那里,通常是五六千的机器才舍得给的配置。

说白了,格米莱把“专业感”的门槛打了下来,给所有人一张不肉疼的入场券。

一位咖啡爱好者金爽对AI蓝媒汇说,“他们家本来就是做商用机的,做家用肯定也差不了。”

产品立住了,格米莱紧接着做了一件事:疯狂营销。

有多疯?看招股书。2024年,其销售与营销开支9485万元,销售费用率21.95%。换言之,其每收100块钱,21块砸向营销。

这套打法熟不熟悉?新消费品牌的老路子:先不惜成本做声量,品牌先打出去再说。

阵仗也铺得够大。2024年,其发起“我是咖啡师”挑战赛,话题浏览量超5000万。品牌合作覆盖大批咖啡博主和KOC,内容简单直接:“杀疯了!咖啡机让星爸爸挣不到我一分钱”。2025年抖音和小红书品牌话题累计浏览量近5亿,在国内咖啡机品牌中排第一。

此外,颜值也是营销的一部分。

奶白色、猫头鹰造型,摆在家里就是一件好看的家具。小红书上“咖啡角”的种草帖里,它的出镜率极高。

图片关键词

这一套组合拳下来,线上卖货的逻辑彻底跑通了。

2023年,格米莱线上收入占比41.4%,2024年涨到54.4%,2025年前三季度进一步攀升至58.3%。线上已经成为格米莱绝对的主渠道。半自动咖啡机在天猫、京东、抖音等平台长期稳居销量榜前五。

就这样,一个顺德牌子,愣是在外资把持的牌桌上挤出了自己的位置。

但挤上牌桌容易,坐稳牌桌是另一回事。

“国产第一”的椅子,坐不稳

如今,格米莱的护城河正在消失。

要知道,一门生意一旦赚钱,就一定会被盯上。

据艾媒咨询数据,中国咖啡机市场正处于高速增长通道。2023年市场规模为24.1亿元,同比增长13.69%,2025年已跃升至107.30亿元。预计2030年有望增至175.47亿元。

赛道热了,所有人都扑了进来。当年格米莱靠“商用技术家庭化”打出的那张牌,也正在被一条条追上。

58毫米冲煮头,现在几乎是“人手一个”了。柏翠全系列标配,百胜图BAE-M2、02S同样搭载,惠家KD-310一直以58mm专业手柄为卖点,连小熊2025年出的“小白咖Pro”都上了。

PID控温和双泵设计同样在往下沉,之前三千元档才舍得给的配置,如今两千元甚至百元级都在用。

格米莱当年的“独门武器”,变成了行业标配。

“用最少的钱买到最具可玩性的专业设备”这个定位依然戳人。但当人人都这么说、家家都在做的时候,“专业”就不再是护城河了。

并且,国产品牌正在集体往上挤。2025年天猫咖啡机市场TOP10里国产品牌占了六席。

外资德龙以20.4%的份额稳坐头把交椅,格米莱7.5%排在第二,差距超过12个百分点。

虽然,格米莱排在国产最前面,但回头看一眼,全是追兵。身后的百胜图已经追到7.2%,只差0.3个百分点。再往后,小熊、飞利浦、柏翠紧咬不放,彼此之间不过一两分的距离。

AI蓝媒汇查询近日的淘宝咖啡机热销榜单,在3500-5000元的主流价位区间,格米莱已经被国产品牌海氏、百胜图超越,排名掉至第四位。

图片关键词

可见,这个“国产第一”的椅子,格米莱坐得并不稳。

更让人捏把汗的是,它守住位置的办法,翻来覆去还是那一招——烧钱做营销。

2023年,其营销及促销开支4121万元;2024年,达到7448万元,一年涨了八成;2025年前三季度,费用达6701万元,已经超过2023年全年。销售费用率始终趴在20%以上。

钱砸得够狠,效果也确实有。其线上渠道收入占比从41.4%涨到了58.3%。

但问题也来了,钱越烧越多,获客的效率却在往下掉。流量越来越贵,每多找到一个愿意掏钱的顾客,品牌要付出的成本都比前一年更高。

更麻烦的是,这套烧钱拉新的打法本身就有隐患。

咖啡机是耐用品,复购率极低。卖出去一台,短期内很难再卖第二台给同一个人。增长只能靠源源不断的新客。

可格米莱靠种草帖拉来的新客里,有很大一部分是跟风入坑的小白。要知道,半自动咖啡机学习成本不低,磨豆刻度调不对,出来的咖啡要么苦到皱眉要么稀得像水;做完一杯还得洗冲煮头、通蒸汽管、清理台面。

不少人折腾几次就放弃了,机器直接挂上闲鱼。

图片关键词

问题就出在这里:一台机器被挂上二手,下一个原本想买新机的人,可能转头就去淘二手了。

毕竟,闲鱼上“九九新”的价格只有六折,潜在客户就这样被截胡了。

格米莱的钱在往营销端猛灌,研发那边却在缩水。

其研发开支从2023年的2066万元降到2025年前三季度的1685万元。研发费用率从6.71%降到4.02%,再降到3.75%,甚至已经低于家电行业5%-7%的平均水平。

换言之,其每收100块钱,超过21块砸向营销,不到4块留给研发。

其自己也在招股书中坦言:行业技术迭代快速,若未能及时跟进产品创新,可能面临市场份额被侵蚀的风险。

对此,盘古智库高级研究员江瀚对AI蓝媒汇表示:“过度依赖营销而忽视研发,可能导致品牌形象更多地建立在‘流量’和‘促销’之上,而非‘技术’和‘品质’。”在他看来,格米莱如果不能在研发端持续投入,长期来看难以支撑“国产第一”的含金量。

格米莱的困局很清楚:当年的技术壁垒正被一寸寸削平,身后的追兵越来越近,而它手里最趁手的武器,依然是砸钱买流量,不是砸钱搞研发。

营销能砸出规模,但砸不出护城河。

当流量越来越贵、竞争对手越来越多、用户越来越挑剔的时候,光靠“让更多人看见”这件事,撑不起一家上市公司的未来。

格米莱需要一个比“58毫米”更有力的答案。

本文来自微信公众号“AI蓝媒汇”,36氪经授权发布。

Gree has taken advantage of the coffee craze to rush into the first domestic coffee machine market, but there are marketing concerns that prioritize research and development over hidden dangers.

There are multiple rolls in the coffee track, needless to say.

Luckin, Kudi Manner、 Lucky coffee, smashed one cup after another at 9.9 yuan, turning coffee from a "petty bourgeois drink" into a "life-saving drink for working people".

Each company is competing in supply chain, turnover rate, and cost, engaging in co branding, distributing coupons, and building a sense of presence, without stopping for a moment. Even Starbucks was run on and almost sold out, almost turning into a 'honey snow'.

It's a mess.

But who would have thought that in this red sea, a Shunde enterprise selling coffee machines would quietly make a fortune.

He is the "leading domestic coffee machine" GML é.

In 2024, its revenue will approach 500 million and its net profit will be 40 million. By the first three quarters of 2025, the gross profit margin has reached 44.1%. What is this concept? The average gross profit margin of the small home appliance sector in the third quarter of 2025 is just over 30%.

It can be said that the popularity of coffee machines is due to the increasingly stubborn middle class.

When drinking coffee, you have to choose the flavor and origin of the beans, adjust the roasting degree yourself, and even feel that the temperature difference of the extraction water is not right. Takeout can no longer meet this picky demand.

A Beijing white-collar bear calculated an account for AI blue media, saying, "Even if you drink a 9.9 cup every day and spend over 3000 yuan a year, it's better to buy a coffee machine and make it yourself. The cost is low, the quality is good, and the playability is high

Besides, if a "coffee corner" is set up at home, the petty bourgeois temperament will be fully utilized.

With the help of this' middle-class toy ', Gemley has solidly enjoyed the dividends of the coffee track.

Nowadays, everyone has gone to the Hong Kong Stock Exchange for IPO. If successful, it will become the "first domestic coffee machine stock".

The coffee seller fought to the death in front, while the coffee machine seller went to the market first.

Is it interesting? That's so interesting.

But that doesn't mean safety either, because the pursuers are already on their way.

Grimley's' Breaking Password '

The coffee machine market has been dominated by foreign brands led by Delong for decades. Why did Gemile come out?

Simply put, the secret to its popularity is to pack tens of thousands of commercial configurations behind the coffee shop counter into a home computer and sell it for a price you can't imagine.

The starting point is a number: 58 millimeters.

Before 2012, almost all household coffee machines on the market used a 51mm extraction system. This configuration is sufficient, capable of producing coffee with a thin layer of oil floating on top, which is already much better than instant noodles.

No one in the industry thinks there is a problem. After all, commercial use is commercial use, household use is household use, and well water does not interfere with river water.

Grimley doesn't believe in this evil.

It integrates a commercial grade 58mm handle and boiling head into a household machine. What does a difference of 7 millimeters mean? A larger bowl area for powder extraction, more uniform extraction, thicker oil, and a direct expansion of flavor levels.

But this also means that the entire heating system, pressure control, and body structure have to be overturned and rebuilt. So, no one has done this before, and no one dares to do it.

Grimley did it.

From then on, "58mm" became a hard label for Gree Home Appliances. The entry-level model priced at over a thousand yuan comes with this system, while the advanced model priced at over three thousand yuan is equipped with PID precision temperature control and dual pump design. These two features are usually only available for machines priced at five or six thousand yuan from imported brands.

To put it simply, Gemley broke down the threshold of "professionalism" and gave everyone a painless admission ticket.

A coffee enthusiast named Jin Shuang told AI Blue Media Hui, "Their family is already making commercial machines, and they can definitely do it for home use

The product stood still, and Gemile immediately did one thing: crazy marketing.

How crazy is it? Read the prospectus. In 2024, its sales and marketing expenses amounted to 94.85 million yuan, with a sales expense ratio of 21.95%. In other words, for every 100 yuan it collects, 21 yuan goes towards marketing.

Are you familiar with this set of tactics? The old path of new consumer brands: first do not hesitate to invest in building brand awareness, and then promote the brand first.

The formation is also spacious enough. In 2024, it launched the "I am a Barista" challenge, with over 50 million views on the topic. The brand cooperation covers a large number of coffee bloggers and KOCs, with simple and direct content: 'Crazy! The coffee machine makes Star Dad unable to earn me a penny'. In 2025, Tiktok and Xiaohongshu brand topics will have a cumulative browsing volume of nearly 500 million, ranking first among domestic coffee machine brands.

In addition, appearance is also a part of marketing.

Milk white and owl shaped, it is a beautiful piece of furniture when placed at home. In the grass planting post of "Coffee Corner" on Xiaohongshu, its appearance rate is extremely high.

With this combination of punches, the logic of online sales has been completely implemented.

In 2023, Gree's online revenue accounted for 41.4%, rising to 54.4% in 2024 and further climbing to 58.3% in the first three quarters of 2025. Online has become the absolute main channel for GML. Semi automatic coffee machines have been among the top five in terms of sales on Tmall, JD, Tiktok and other platforms for a long time.

Thus, a Shunde brand managed to carve out its place on the table dominated by foreign investment.

But squeezing onto the card table is easy, sitting firmly at the table is another matter.

The chair that ranks first domestically is unstable to sit on

Nowadays, the moat of Gemile is disappearing.

You should know that once a business makes money, it will definitely be targeted.

According to data from iMedia Consulting, the Chinese coffee machine market is currently experiencing rapid growth. The market size in 2023 is 2.41 billion yuan, a year-on-year increase of 13.69%, and has jumped to 10.73 billion yuan by 2025. It is expected to increase to 17.547 billion yuan by 2030.

The track got hot, and everyone rushed in. The card played by Gemley with the "commercialization of technology at home" back then is also being caught up one by one.

58mm boiling head, now almost every person has one. Baicui comes standard across the entire series, including the Baibaitu BAE-M2 and 02S. The Huijia KD-310 has always been marketed with a 58mm professional controller, even including the "Little White Coffee Pro" released by Little Bear in 2025.

PID temperature control and dual pump design are also declining. Previously, configurations that were only offered for 3000 yuan are now being used for 2000 yuan or even 100 yuan.

Grimley's "unique weapon" of the past has become a standard in the industry.

The positioning of 'buying the most playable professional equipment with the least amount of money' is still intriguing. But when everyone says so and every family is doing it, 'professionalism' is no longer a moat.

Moreover, domestic brands are collectively pushing upwards. In the TOP10 coffee machine market on Tmall in 2025, six domestic brands will be included.

Foreign investment Delong firmly holds the top spot with a share of 20.4%, while Gemile ranks second with a share of 7.5%, with a gap of over 12 percentage points.

Although Gemile ranks at the forefront of domestic production, looking back, they are all pursuers. Behind us, Yum! Brands has already caught up to 7.2%, only 0.3 percentage points away. Moving forward, Little Bear, Philips, and Bai Cui held on tightly, with only one or two points apart from each other.

According to the recent hot selling list of Taobao coffee machines by AI Blue Media, in the mainstream price range of 3500-5000 yuan, Gree has been surpassed by domestic brands Haishi and Yum! Brands, and its ranking has dropped to fourth place.

It can be seen that this "domestically produced first" chair is not sitting steadily by Gemile.

What makes people sweat even more is that its way of holding its position is still the same trick - burning money for marketing.

In 2023, its marketing and promotional expenses amounted to 41.21 million yuan; In 2024, it will reach 74.48 million yuan, an increase of 80% in one year; In the first three quarters of 2025, the expenses reached 67.01 million yuan, which has exceeded the full year of 2023. The sales expense ratio has consistently remained above 20%.

The money was smashed hard enough, and the effect was indeed significant. The proportion of online channel revenue has increased from 41.4% to 58.3%.

But the problem is that the more money is burned, the more efficient it is in acquiring customers. Traffic is becoming increasingly expensive, and for every additional customer willing to pay, the cost for the brand is higher than the previous year.

What's even more troublesome is that this strategy of burning money to attract new players itself has hidden dangers.

Coffee machines are durable goods with extremely low repurchase rates. Selling one unit makes it difficult to sell a second one to the same person in the short term. Growth can only rely on a steady stream of new customers.

A large part of the new customers brought in by Ke Ge Mi Lei through grass planting posts are novices who follow the trend. You should know that the learning cost of semi-automatic coffee machines is not low. If the grinding scale is not adjusted correctly, the coffee produced will either be bitter to the point of frowning or as thin as water; After finishing a cup, you still need to wash the boiling head, steam the steam pipe, and clean the countertop.

Many people give up after a few twists and turns, and the machine directly hangs on the idle fish.

The problem lies here: if a machine is listed as second-hand, the next person who originally wanted to buy a new machine may turn around and search for second-hand ones.

After all, the price of "99 New" on Xianyu is only 60% off, and potential customers are thus blocked.

Gree's money is pouring heavily into the marketing side, while the research and development side is shrinking.

Its research and development expenses have decreased from 20.66 million yuan in 2023 to 16.85 million yuan in the first three quarters of 2025. The R&D expense ratio has decreased from 6.71% to 4.02%, and then to 3.75%, even lower than the average level of 5% -7% in the home appliance industry.

In other words, for every 100 yuan it collects, over 21 yuan goes towards marketing and less than 4 yuan is left for research and development.

In its prospectus, it also admitted that the industry's technological iteration is rapid, and if it fails to keep up with product innovation in a timely manner, it may face the risk of market share erosion.

Regarding this, Jiang Han, a senior researcher at Pangu Think Tank, told AI Blue Media that "excessive reliance on marketing and neglect of research and development may lead to brand image being built more on 'traffic' and 'promotion' rather than 'technology' and 'quality'." In his opinion, if Gemile cannot continue to invest in research and development, it will be difficult to support the gold content of 'domestic first' in the long run.

The predicament of Gree is very clear: the technological barriers of the past are being gradually flattened, and the pursuers behind are getting closer and closer. Its most handy weapon is still to spend money on traffic, not on research and development.

Marketing can create scale, but it cannot create a moat.

When traffic becomes increasingly expensive, competitors become more numerous, and users become more discerning, relying solely on "making more people see" cannot sustain the future of a listed company.

Grimley needs a more powerful answer than '58 millimeters'.

This article is from the WeChat official account "AI Blue Media", 36 krypton is authorized to release.

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